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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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Future (2046-2065) predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence projected under the A1fi emissions scenario with the Hadley CM3 GCM model (Gordon et al. 2000, Pope et al. 2000). Projected fisher distribution was created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 102, spanning 1993 – 2011) and seven predictor variables: mean winter (January – March) precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean summer temperature amplitude, mean daily low temperature for the month of the year with the warmest mean daily low temperature, mean fraction of vegetation carbon burned, mean vegetation carbon (g C m2), and modal vegetation class. Predictor variables had a grid cell size of...
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Description: Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 102, spanning 1993 – 2011) and seven predictor variables: mean winter (January – March) precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean summer temperature amplitude, mean daily low temperature for the month of the year with the warmest mean daily low temperature, mean fraction of vegetation carbon burned, mean vegetation carbon (g C m2), and modal vegetation class. Predictor variables had a grid cell size of 10 km, vegetation variables were simulated with MC1 (Hayhoe et al. 2004) and climate variables were provided by the PRISM GROUP (Daly et al. 1994). This...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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This dataset represents the average annual amount of water contributed to the stream network for each watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Simulated mean streamflow (stormflow + baseflow + runoff) was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Streamflow units are comparable to rainfall - millimeters of water per year. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project...
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This dataset represents the average net primary production for each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Mean net primary production (in g m-2 per yr), was determined for each HUC5 watershed by averaging values of original ~ 4 km raster data. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1...
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decadal aflivcx, Miroc future E NGP, juniper 50% grazing, spring burn 40 yr return low regen capacity.
Tags: mc1
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This dataset was created using the MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. It represents the mode of projected vegetation types for the time period 2041 to 2050 under the down-scaled CGCM3 Global Circulation Model under the A2 emissions scenario. The fire suppression condition was set for the model run. The spatial resolution is 30 arc seconds, and the extent is the four corners region of the southwestern USA (Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico).
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This dataset was created using the MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. It represents the mode of projected vegetation types for the time period 2041 to 2050 under the down-scaled MIROC3 Global Circulation Model under the A2 emissions scenario. The fire suppression condition was set for the model run. The spatial resolution is 30 arc seconds, and the extent is the four corners region of the southwestern USA (Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico).
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Annual precipitation (mm) averaged over 1986 – 2005, simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 4 km x 4 km spatial resolution using PRISM climate for the historical period. This effort is part of a pilot project to apply and evaluate the Yale Framework (Yale Science Panel for Integrating Climate Adaptation and Landscape Conservation Planning). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model).
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Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C , (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA
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This dataset represents the average amount of soil carbon within each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Soil carbon, in g m-2, was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1 model was run using historical data and future climate change projections...
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These data are forecast barren land change under the PCM A2 scenarios, calculated using the outputs from runs of the USFS Pacific Northwest Research Station and WWETAC MC1 Vegetation model.MC1 Vegetation Model description: This collection of layers includes summary statistics from input and output data used for simulation of vegetation response to climate change in California. The simulations were performed using MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM), source code revision 152. The model was parameterized and evaluated by the DGVM research group at the US Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, with support from the Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center. The model was parameterized...
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These data are forecast barren land change under the GFDL B1 scenarios, calculated using the outputs from runs of the USFS Pacific Northwest Research Station and WWETAC MC1 Vegetation model.MC1 Vegetation Model description: This collection of layers includes summary statistics from input and output data used for simulation of vegetation response to climate change in California. The simulations were performed using MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM), source code revision 152. The model was parameterized and evaluated by the DGVM research group at the US Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, with support from the Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center. The model was parameterized...
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These data are forecast barren land change under the PCM A2&B1 scenarios, calculated using the outputs from runs of the USFS Pacific Northwest Research Station and WWETAC MC1 Vegetation model.MC1 Vegetation Model description: This collection of layers includes summary statistics from input and output data used for simulation of vegetation response to climate change in California. The simulations were performed using MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM), source code revision 152. The model was parameterized and evaluated by the DGVM research group at the US Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, with support from the Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center. The model was parameterized...
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This collection of layers includes summary statistics from input and output data used for simulation of vegetation response to climate change in California. The historical data layers represent the 30 year period from 1961 to 1990. Future data layers represent each four 20 year periods: 2010-2029, 2030-2049, 2060-2079, and 2080-2099. The simulations were performed using MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM), source code revision 152. The model was parameterized and evaluated by the DGVM research group at the US Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, with support from the Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center. The model was parameterized to maximize concordance with maps of potential...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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This map represents the mean annual value of total ecosystem carbon, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. The data is from output variable C_ECOSYS in MC1 version B60. The data is in units of grams of carbon per square meter; values range from 6739 to 77570 g C m-2. The mean value is 35184 g C m-2. The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts at two study sites in eastern Oregon (Deschutes and Fremont-Winema National Forests) and in Arizona (Apache Sitgreaves National Forest area) in the context of a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW 09-JV-11261900-003)....
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For his MS thesis, Brendan Rogers used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial grain. The model was run from 1895 to 2100 assuming that nitrogen demand from the plants was always met so that the nitrogen concentrations in various plant parts never dropped below their minimum reported values. A CO2 enhancement effect increased productivity and water use efficiency as the atmospheric CO2 concentration increased. Future climate change scenarios were generated through...
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This dataset represents the difference between future and historic maximum temperatures under the MIROC A2 future climate scenario.


map background search result map search result map AFLIVCXmy1 Forecast Barren Land Change Under PCM A2, 2080-2099 Forecast Barren Land Change Under GFDL B1, 2010-2029 Forecast Barren Land Change Under PCM A2 and B1 Scenario, 2080-2099 Simulated Snowpack During Historical Period MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the CGCM3 GCM A2 scenario MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the MIROC3 GCM A2 scenario Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated average historical streamflow (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Mean annual precipitation, 1986 – 2005, 4 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 1986-2005, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-August 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Calculated difference between simulated maximum temperatures for 2071 to 2100 under MIROC A2 for the eastern Oregon study area, USA Average annual value of total ecosystem carbon (1971-2000) for the Eastern Oregon study area, USA Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C, (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA Simulated potential PNW vegetation the Western 2/3 of Oregon and Washington under CSIRO Mk3 general circulation model run with the A2 SRES emission scenario (2070-2099 mode) using the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C, (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA Calculated difference between simulated maximum temperatures for 2071 to 2100 under MIROC A2 for the eastern Oregon study area, USA Average annual value of total ecosystem carbon (1971-2000) for the Eastern Oregon study area, USA Forecast Barren Land Change Under PCM A2, 2080-2099 Forecast Barren Land Change Under PCM A2 and B1 Scenario, 2080-2099 Forecast Barren Land Change Under GFDL B1, 2010-2029 Simulated potential PNW vegetation the Western 2/3 of Oregon and Washington under CSIRO Mk3 general circulation model run with the A2 SRES emission scenario (2070-2099 mode) using the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model AFLIVCXmy1 Simulated average historical streamflow (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated Snowpack During Historical Period Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Mean annual precipitation, 1986 – 2005, 4 km resolution MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the CGCM3 GCM A2 scenario MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the MIROC3 GCM A2 scenario Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 1986-2005, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-August 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential)