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This dataset represents the average annual amount of water contributed to the stream network for each watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Simulated mean streamflow (stormflow + baseflow + runoff) was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Streamflow units are comparable to rainfall - millimeters of water per year. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project...
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This dataset represents the average amount of soil carbon within each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Soil carbon, in g m-2, was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1 model was run using historical data and future climate change projections...
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This dataset represents the average net primary production for each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Mean net primary production (in g m-2 per yr), was determined for each HUC5 watershed by averaging values of original ~ 4 km raster data. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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Future (2046-2065) predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence projected under the A1fi emissions scenario with the Hadley CM3 GCM model (Gordon et al. 2000, Pope et al. 2000). Projected fisher distribution was created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 102, spanning 1993 – 2011) and seven predictor variables: mean winter (January – March) precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean summer temperature amplitude, mean daily low temperature for the month of the year with the warmest mean daily low temperature, mean fraction of vegetation carbon burned, mean vegetation carbon (g C m2), and modal vegetation class. Predictor variables had a grid cell size of...
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Description: Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 102, spanning 1993 – 2011) and seven predictor variables: mean winter (January – March) precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean summer temperature amplitude, mean daily low temperature for the month of the year with the warmest mean daily low temperature, mean fraction of vegetation carbon burned, mean vegetation carbon (g C m2), and modal vegetation class. Predictor variables had a grid cell size of 10 km, vegetation variables were simulated with MC1 (Hayhoe et al. 2004) and climate variables were provided by the PRISM GROUP (Daly et al. 1994). This...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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decadal aflivcx, Miroc future E NGP, juniper 50% grazing, spring burn 40 yr return low regen capacity.
Tags: mc1
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This dataset was created using the MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. It represents the mode of projected vegetation types for the time period 2041 to 2050 under the down-scaled CGCM3 Global Circulation Model under the A2 emissions scenario. The fire suppression condition was set for the model run. The spatial resolution is 30 arc seconds, and the extent is the four corners region of the southwestern USA (Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico).
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This dataset was created using the MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. It represents the mode of projected vegetation types for the time period 2041 to 2050 under the down-scaled MIROC3 Global Circulation Model under the A2 emissions scenario. The fire suppression condition was set for the model run. The spatial resolution is 30 arc seconds, and the extent is the four corners region of the southwestern USA (Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico).
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Annual precipitation (mm) averaged over 1986 – 2005, simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 4 km x 4 km spatial resolution using PRISM climate for the historical period. This effort is part of a pilot project to apply and evaluate the Yale Framework (Yale Science Panel for Integrating Climate Adaptation and Landscape Conservation Planning). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model).
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Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C , (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA
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Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest averaged over 2076-2095 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case Hadley CM3 (Johns et al. 2003) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin...
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Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetati...
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This map represents the change between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099 in the mean annual fraction of each gridcell affected by fire, as simulated by the model MC1 under the Hadley future climate projection and A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. Data values are calculated as PART_BURN(2070-2099) minus PART_BURN(1971-2000). PART_BURN data is from MC1 version B60. The average annual fraction of cell burned for the respective 30-year periods increased in some of the 5,311 grid cells of the Apache-Sitgreaves study area and decreased in others. The range of data values is from -0.077 to +0.163. The mean value is +0.031. The vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated...
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This map represents the change between 1971-2000 and 2071-2100 in the annual peak fraction of total live vegetation carbon held in herbaceous plants, as simulated by the model MC1 under the CSIRO Mk3 future climate projection and A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. The range of data values is from -0.741 to +0.999. The mean value is +0.107. Data values are calculated as GFRAC(2071-2100) minus GFRAC(1971-2000). GFRAC data is from MC1 version B60. The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts at two study sites in eastern Oregon (Deschutes and Fremont-Winema National Forests)...
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Change in the majority generalized vegetation type for each HUC5 watershed between historical (1971-2000) and future (2071-2100) time periods. The MC1 dynamic vegetation model was run under the CSIRO, MIROC, and Hadley climate change projections and the A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. Majority generalized vegetation type was determined for each HUC5 watershed from from original ~ 4 km raster data. Generalized vegetation types were assigned by combining detailed MC1 vegetation classes into four general catagories: desert, grassland, shrubland, and forest. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background:...
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Change in the majority generalized vegetation type for each HUC5 watershed between historical (1971-2000) and future (2071-2100) time periods. The MC1 dynamic vegetation model was run under the CSIRO, MIROC, and Hadley climate change projections and the A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. Majority generalized vegetation type was determined for each HUC5 watershed from from original ~ 4 km raster data. Generalized vegetation types were assigned by combining detailed MC1 vegetation classes into four general catagories: desert, grassland, shrubland, and forest. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background:...
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This dataset represents the average amount of live tree carbon for each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Simulated mean live forest carbon (output variable C_Forestyr in MC1 version B60, which includes both above and below-ground tree carbon) was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Units are grams per square meter. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and...
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Percent change in the mean area burned per year (per ~4 km pixel) for each HUC5 watershed between historical (1971-2000) and future (2071-2100) time periods. The MC1 dynamic vegetation model was run under the CSIRO, MIROC, and Hadley climate change projections and the A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. Mean area burned per year per ~4 km pixel (in square meters), was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water...


map background search result map search result map Simulated change in generalized vegetation types between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Simulated historical live forest carbon (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Simulated percent change in area burned between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA AFLIVCXmy1 MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the CGCM3 GCM A2 scenario MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the MIROC3 GCM A2 scenario Simulated change in generalized vegetation types between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated average historical streamflow (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2076-2095, Hadley CM3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Mean annual precipitation, 1986 – 2005, 4 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 1986-2005, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Change in the mean annual fraction of cell burned between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Change in the fraction of total live vegetation carbon held in herbaceous plants between 1971-2000 and 2071-2000, as simulated by MC1 under CSIRO Mk3 A2 for the eastern Oregon study area, Oregon, USA Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C, (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA Change in the mean annual fraction of cell burned between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Mean number of growing degree days above 0 °C, (1984 - 2008) for the Apache - Sitgraves study area, Arizona, USA Change in the fraction of total live vegetation carbon held in herbaceous plants between 1971-2000 and 2071-2000, as simulated by MC1 under CSIRO Mk3 A2 for the eastern Oregon study area, Oregon, USA Simulated percent change in area burned between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA AFLIVCXmy1 Simulated average historical streamflow (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2076-2095, Hadley CM3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated change in generalized vegetation types between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Simulated historical live forest carbon (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Simulated change in generalized vegetation types between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Mean annual precipitation, 1986 – 2005, 4 km resolution MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the CGCM3 GCM A2 scenario MC1 projections of potential vegetation types for (2041 to 2050) under the MIROC3 GCM A2 scenario Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 1986-2005, Hadley CM3 A1fi, 10 km resolution MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential)