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This dataset was created from data provided by the USDA Forest Service MAPSS team at the Pacific Northwest Research Station. The National Center for Conservation Science and Policy calculated the mean value for the 2035-2045 period and clipped the file to the region surrounding San luis Obispo County, California. The data are the projected change in mean temperatures for August produced by the CSIRO model at 0.8 degree resolution (approximately 8 km). Units are degrees Celsius.
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Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetati...
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Percent change in biomass consumed by fire is calculated for 50 year periods for the historical period and for the future (2050-2099 versus 1951-2000. Percent change is calculated as ((future – historical/historical) x 100). These are results from the NA8K version of MC1. MC1 is a dynamic vegetation model for estimating the distribution of vegetation and associated ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nutrients, and water. It was created to assess the potential impacts of global climate change on ecosystem structure and function at a wide range of spatial scales from landscape to global. The model incorporates transient dynamics to make predictions about the patterns of ecological change. MC1 was created by combining physiologically...
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Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence derived from future (2046-2065) climate projections and vegetation simulations. Projected fisher distribution was created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 302, spanning 1990 – 2011) and five predictor variables: mean annual precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean understory index (fraction of grass vegetation carbon in forest), mean forest carbon (g C m2), and mean fraction of vegetation carbon in forest. Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario...
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Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest averaged over 2076-2095 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetati...
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Fraction of vegetation carbon burned averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model)....
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Simulated understory index (fraction of grass vegetation carbon in forest, ((aglivcx + bglivcx) / frstc)))averaged over 2076-2095 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008)....
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Simulated percent change in the average annual amount of water contributed to the stream network for each watershed between historical (1971-2000) and future (2071-2100) time periods. The MC1 dynamic vegetation model was run under the CSIRO, MIROC, and Hadley climate change projections and the A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario.Mean streamflow (stormflow + baseflow + runoff) was determined for each watershed by averaging values of original ~ 4 km raster data, and percent change was calculated as (STREAMFLOW(2071-2100) minus STREAMFLOW(1971-2000)) divided by STREAMFLOW(1971-2000). Data are from MC1 version B60. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the...
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Simulated annual precipitation (mm) averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model)....
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Future modal vegetation class averaged over 2076-2095 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model)....
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Simulated understory index (fraction of grass vegetation carbon in forest, ((aglivcx + bglivcx) / frstc))) averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008)....
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Simulated forest carbon (g C m2) averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model)....
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Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence derived from future (2076-2095) climate projections and vegetation simulations. Projected fisher distribution was created with Maxent (Phillips et al. 2006) using fisher detections (N = 302, spanning 1990 – 2011) and five predictor variables: mean annual precipitation, mean summer (July – September) precipitation, mean understory index (fraction of grass vegetation carbon in forest), mean forest carbon (g C m2), and mean fraction of vegetation carbon in forest. Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario...
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Percent change in biomass consumed by fire is calculated for 50 year periods for the historical period and for the future (2050-2099 versus 1951-2000. Percent change is calculated as ((future – historical/historical) x 100). These are results from the NA8K version of MC1. MC1 is a dynamic vegetation model for estimating the distribution of vegetation and associated ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nutrients, and water. It was created to assess the potential impacts of global climate change on ecosystem structure and function at a wide range of spatial scales from landscape to global. The model incorporates transient dynamics to make predictions about the patterns of ecological change. MC1 was created by combining physiologically...
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Future modal vegetation class averaged over 2046-2065 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-model)....
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Simulated average maximum tree LAI (m2/m2) averaged over 2076-2095 simulated by the MC1 dynamic global vegetation model (Bachelet et al. 2001) at a 800 m x 800 m spatial resolution using future climate projections provided through CMIP3 (http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/about_ipcc.php). Future climate drivers were generated using statistical downscaling (simple delta method) of general circulation model projections, in this case CSIRO Mk3 A2 (Gordon 2002) under the A2 emission scenario (Naki?enovi? et al. 2000). The deltas (differences for temperatures and ratios for precipitation) were used to modify PRISM 800 m historical baseline (Daly et al. 2008). Note: The MC1 model is described in data basin (http://databasin.org/climate-center/features/mc1-dynamic-global-vegetation-mode...


map background search result map search result map Simulated percent change in streamflow between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800 m resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800 m resolution Simulated vegetation class (mode), 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated vegetation class (mode), 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated average maximum tree LAI (m2/m2), 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated annual precipitation, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated understory index, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated understory index, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated forest carbon (g C m2), 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon burned, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Average Annual Vapor Pressure (kelvins) for a 0.5° Grid Resolution over North America for the CSIRO Mk 2.0 SRES B2 scenario (2070-2099). Percent change in biomass consumed by fire for the USA and Canada simulated by the MC1 model and based on climate projections from the CSIRO Mk3.0 GCM for the SRES B1 emission scenario. Percent change in biomass consumed by fire for the USA and Canada simulated by the MC1 model and based on climate projections from the CSIRO Mk3.0 GCM for the SRES A2 emission scenario. Mean Monthly Maximum Temperature (degrees C) for 2070-2099 Over North America at 5 arc-minutes downscaled from CSIRO Mk3.0 / SRES A2 climate model simulations Change in Average August Temperature CSIRO 2035-2045 Change in Average August Temperature CSIRO 2035-2045 Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800 m resolution Predicted probability of fisher year-round occurrence, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800 m resolution Simulated vegetation class (mode), 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated vegetation class (mode), 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated average maximum tree LAI (m2/m2), 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated annual precipitation, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated understory index, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated understory index, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2076-2095, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon in forest, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated forest carbon (g C m2), 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated fraction of vegetation carbon burned, 2046-2065, CSIRO Mk3 A2, 800m resolution Simulated percent change in streamflow between historical and future time periods under three climate change projections for OR and WA, USA Percent change in biomass consumed by fire for the USA and Canada simulated by the MC1 model and based on climate projections from the CSIRO Mk3.0 GCM for the SRES B1 emission scenario. Percent change in biomass consumed by fire for the USA and Canada simulated by the MC1 model and based on climate projections from the CSIRO Mk3.0 GCM for the SRES A2 emission scenario. Average Annual Vapor Pressure (kelvins) for a 0.5° Grid Resolution over North America for the CSIRO Mk 2.0 SRES B2 scenario (2070-2099). Mean Monthly Maximum Temperature (degrees C) for 2070-2099 Over North America at 5 arc-minutes downscaled from CSIRO Mk3.0 / SRES A2 climate model simulations