Local-scale projections of coral reef futures and implications of the Paris Agreement

These data are netcdf files of the projected timing of the onset of thermal stress severe enough (>8 Degree Heating Weeks) to cause coral bleaching 2x per decade and 10x per decade (annual) under emissions scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. The projected timing (a year between 2006 and 2100) is the data value. Values are only shown for the ~60,000 four-km pixels where coral reefs are known to occur.

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Climate change, Coral bleaching, Coral reefs, Global, Marine ecology, All tags... Model projections, Pacific Islands CASC, Resilience, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Vulnerability, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Proportion July - Sep) - 2020-2050 - RCP8.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Temperature (Mean: Annual) - 2020-2050 - RCP8.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Proportion May - Oct) - 1980-2010

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Proportion May - Oct) - 2070-2100 - RCP4.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Proportion May - Oct) - 2020-2050 - RCP4.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Mean: Apr - June) - 2070-2100 - RCP4.5 - Max

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Mean: Dec - Mar) - 2020-2050 - RCP4.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Temperature (Mean: Annual) - 2020-2050 - RCP4.5 - Max

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Interactions Between Soil Erosion Processes and Fires: Implications for the Dynamics of Fertility Islands

Shrub encroachment in arid and semiarid rangelands, a worldwide phenomenon, results in a heterogeneous landscape characterized by a mosaic of nutrient-depleted barren soil bordered by nutrient-enriched shrubby areas known as “fertile islands.� Even though shrub encroachment is considered as a major contributor to rangeland degradation, little is known about mechanisms favoring the reversibility of the early stages of this process. Here we synthesize the interactions between fires and soil erosion processes, and the implications of these interactions for management of rangelands. The burning of shrub vegetation develops relatively high levels of soil hydrophobicity. This fire-induced water repellency was shown...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Journal Citation; Tags: Rangeland Ecology & Management, Society for Range Management, land degradation, resilience, shrub encroachment, All tags... thresholds, Fewer tags

Temperature (Mean: Apr - June) - 2020-2050 - RCP8.5 - Mean

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Temperature (Mean: Dec - Mar) - 2070-2100 - RCP8.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Temperature (Minimum: January) - 2070-2100 - RCP8.5 - Mean

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Grouped Regional Flow Patterns

The regional flow patterns dataset was designed to identify potential larger-scale directional movements and pinpoint the areas where they are likely to become concentrated, diffused, or rerouted, due to the structure of the landscape. We used the software tool Circuitscape (McRae and Shah 2009, http://www.circuitscape.org/) based on electric circuit theory, to model these larger flow patterns for the region. Like the local connectedness analysis, the underlying data for this analysis was land-cover and road data converted to a resistance grid by assigning weights to the cell types based on their similarity to cells of natural cover. However, instead of quantifying local neighborhoods, the Circuitscape program calculates...

Tags: Adaptive Capacity, Circuitscape, Climate Change, Concentrated Flow, Diffuse Flow, All tags... Linkages, Regional Flow Patterns, Resilience, low flow, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Proportion July - Sep) - 2070-2100 - RCP8.5 - Mean

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Mean: July - Sep) - 2070-2100 - RCP8.5 - Mean

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Precipitation (Mean: July - Sep) - 2020-2050 - RCP8.5 - Min

Future climates are simulated by general circulation models (GCM) using climate change scenarios (IPCC 2014). To project climate change for the sagebrush biome, we used 11 GCMs and two climate change scenarios from the IPCC Fifth Assessment, representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 (Moss et al. 2010, Van Vuuren et al. 2011). RCP4.5 scenario represents a future where climate policies limit and achieve stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations to 4.5 W m-2 by 2100. RCP8.5 scenario might be called a business-as-usual scenario, where high emissions of greenhouse gases continue in the absence of climate change policies. The two selected time frames allow comparison of near-term (2020-2050) and longer-term...

Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Arizona, CRS, California, Climate, Colorado, All tags... Greater Sage-Grouse, Idaho, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Precipitation, Resilience, Resistance, Sagebrush, Science Framework, ScienceFramework, South Dakota, Temperature, USDA, USFS, USGS, Utah, Washington, Western States, Wyoming, environment, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags

Historical and 21st century soil temperature and moisture data for drylands of western U.S. and Canada

These data represent simulated soil temperature and moisture conditions for current climate, and for future climate represented by all available climate models at two time periods during the 21st century. These data were used to: 1) quantify the direction and magnitude of expected changes in several measures of soil temperature and soil moisture, including the key variables used to distinguish the regimes used in the R and R categories; 2) assess how these changes will impact the geographic distribution of soil temperature and moisture regimes; and 3) explore the implications for using R and R categories for estimating future ecosystem resilience and resistance.

Tags: Alberta, Arizona, British Columbia, California, Canada, All tags... Climatology, Colorado, Ecology, Geography, Idaho, Information Sciences, Kansas, Manitoba, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Saskatchewan, Soil Sciences, South Dakota, Texas, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, Utah, Washington, Wyoming, aridification, aridity, big sagebrush ecosystems, biota, cheatgrass, clay loam, climate, climate change, climate models, concentration pathways, drought resistance, droughts, ecological model, ecological transformation, ecosystem resilience, future time periods, historical conditions, resilience, sandy loam, silt loam, soil temperature, soil types, vulnerability, Fewer tags

Voice and data telecommunications restoration curves for 17 counties affected by the April 18, 2018, M7.0 HayWired earthquake scenario mainshock

These data are a series of telecommunications voice and data restoration percentages for 17 counties affected by the HayWired earthquake scenario, a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurring on the Hayward Fault on April 18, 2018, with an epicenter in the city of Oakland, CA. These data for telecommunications demand served are derived from residual network capacity based on potential hazard information (for example, ground shaking and liquefaction), assumptions about dependence on electric power restoration, and assumptions about network congestion caused by demand surge. Various resilience cases pertain to assumptions about the presence of backup power (for example, batteries or generators), ability to truck in fuel and...

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: California, HayWired, San Francisco Bay area, Seismology, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), All tags... resilience, restoration, telecommunications, Fewer tags

Final Report: Informing and Evaluating Forest Management Strategies to Promote Drought Resistance

Severe droughts cause widespread tree mortality and decreased growth in forests across the globe. Forest managers are seeking strategies to increase forest resistance (minimizing negative impacts during the drought) and resilience (maximizing recovery rates following drought). Limited experimental evidence suggests that forests with particular structural characteristics have greater capacity to resist change and or recover ecosystem function in the face of drought. However, the applicability of these results to practical forest conservation and management remains unclear. This project utilized an existing network of eight long-term, operational-scale, forest management experiments from Arizona to Maine to examine...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Report; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Forests, Landscapes, All tags... National CASC, Science Tools For Managers, drought, forest resistance, resilience, severe drought, tree mortality, Fewer tags