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Using a bioclimatic envelope approach, University of Alberta investigators project how the distribution and abundance of boreal forest birds across North America will respond to different scenarios of future climate-change. Investigation emphasis is on mapping and quantifying potential range expansions of boreal bird species into Arctic and subarctic regions across Alaska and Canada. The final products demonstrate a broad continental-scale overview of potential shifts in avian distribution.
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Climate models project the rapid warming of boreal and arctic regions of NorthAmerica. This has led to predictions that boreal forest vegetation and fauna will track these changes andshift northward into the arctic over the next century. We used a comprehensive dataset of avian pointcountsurveys from across boreal Canada and Alaska, combined with the best-available interpolatedclimate data, to develop bioclimatic niche models of current avian distribution and density for 102 nativespecies of forest songbirds. We then used a downscaling of projected climates in future periods (2011–2040, 2041–2070, 2071–2100) to assess the potential for these species to shift their ranges and increasetheir abundance across North...
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Background: Yellow-cedar (Callitropsis nootkatensis) is an economically and culturally important tree of the North Pacific coastal rainforest, ranging from northern California through Southeast Alaska. The species has been in decline for many decades, particularly in the northern portion of its range (Southeast Alaska and coastal British Columbia), and is currently under consideration for listing as Threatened or Endangered. Previous work has delineated locations of yellow-cedar stands across the species range, and modeled geophysical features associated with presence of the tree.Purpose: The purpose of this project is to support refinement of a range-wide analysis of bioclimatic factors that support healthy vs....
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: SPECIES MIGRATION, biota, British Columbia, CA-1, CA-2, All tags...


    map background search result map search result map Yellow-cedar decline and recovery:  Climate modeling and data assimilation Modeling Avifaunal Responses Executive Summary Modeling avifaunal responses to climate change in North America's boreal-Arctic transition zone Yellow-cedar decline and recovery:  Climate modeling and data assimilation Modeling Avifaunal Responses Executive Summary Modeling avifaunal responses to climate change in North America's boreal-Arctic transition zone