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MC1 is a dynamic vegetation model for estimating the distribution of vegetation and associated ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nutrients, and water. It was created to assess the potential impacts of global climate change on ecosystem structure and function at a wide range of spatial scales from landscape to global. The model incorporates transient dynamics to make predictions about the patterns of ecological change. MC1 was created by combining physiologically based biogeographic rules defined in the MAPSS model with a modified version of the biogeochemical model, CENTURY. MC1 includes a fire module, MCFIRE, that mechanistically simulates the occurrence and impacts of fire events. Climate input data sources for this...
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Soil residual water corresponds to the model variable "total streamflow." In the model MC1, this is calculated (in cm of water) as the water flowing through the soil profile below the last soil layer (streamflow), water leached into the subsoil (baseflow) and also includes runoff. The output is presented here as a monthly average. Soil residual water is part of the model output from Brendan Rogers' MS thesis work. Brendan used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial...
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Soil residual water corresponds to the model variable "total streamflow." In the model MC1, this is calculated (in cm of water) as the water flowing through the soil profile below the last soil layer (streamflow), water leached into the subsoil (baseflow) and also includes runoff. The output is presented here as a monthly average. Soil residual water is part of the model output from Brendan Rogers' MS thesis work. Brendan used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial...
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Soil residual water corresponds to the model variable "total streamflow." In the model MC1, this is calculated (in cm of water) as the water flowing through the soil profile below the last soil layer (streamflow), water leached into the subsoil (baseflow) and also includes runoff. The output is presented here as a monthly average. Soil residual water is part of the model output from Brendan Rogers' MS thesis work. Brendan used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial...
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Soil residual water corresponds to the model variable "total streamflow." In the model MC1, this is calculated (in cm of water) as the water flowing through the soil profile below the last soil layer (streamflow), water leached into the subsoil (baseflow) and also includes runoff. The output is presented here as a monthly average. Soil residual water is part of the model output from Brendan Rogers' MS thesis work. Brendan used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial...
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Soil residual water corresponds to the model variable "total streamflow." In the model Mc1, this is calculated (in cm of water) as the water flowing through the soil profile below the last soil layer (streamflow), Water leached in the subsoil (baseflow) and also includes runoff. the output is prsented here as a monthly average. Soil residual water is part of the model output from Brendan Rogers' MS thesis work. Brendan used the vegetation model MC1 to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget and wild fire impacts across the western 2/3 of the states of Oregon and Washington using climate input data from the PRISM group (Chris Daly, OSU) at a 30arc second (800m) spatial grain....
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This dataset represents the average amount of soil carbon within each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Soil carbon, in g m-2, was determined for each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1 model was run using historical data and future climate change projections...
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This dataset represents the average net primary production for each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Mean net primary production (in g m-2 per yr), was determined for each HUC5 watershed by averaging values of original ~ 4 km raster data. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003). The MC1...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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This map shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). Different colors indicate the level of consensus among five different MC1 simulations (i.e., one for each forecast provided by five different weather models), ranging from one of five to five of five simulations predicting high fire potential. The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using...
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This map represents the change between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099 in the mean annual fraction of each gridcell affected by fire, as simulated by the model MC1 under the Hadley future climate projection and A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. Data values are calculated as PART_BURN(2070-2099) minus PART_BURN(1971-2000). PART_BURN data is from MC1 version B60. The average annual fraction of cell burned for the respective 30-year periods increased in some of the 5,311 grid cells of the Apache-Sitgreaves study area and decreased in others. The range of data values is from -0.077 to +0.163. The mean value is +0.031. The vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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MC1 is a dynamic vegetation model for estimating the distribution of vegetation and associated ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nutrients, and water. It was created to assess the potential impacts of global climate change on ecosystem structure and function at a wide range of spatial scales from landscape to global. The model incorporates transient dynamics to make predictions about the patterns of ecological change. MC1 was created by combining physiologically based biogeographic rules defined in the MAPSS model with a modified version of the biogeochemical model, CENTURY. MC1 includes a fire module, MCFIRE, that mechanistically simulates the occurrence and impacts of fire events. Climate input data sources for this...
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This map represents the percent change in total ecosystem carbon from 1971-2000 to 2070-2099, simulated by the model MC1 under the Hadley future climate projection and A2 anthropogenic emissions scenario. The average annual value of total ecosystem carbon for the respective 30-year periods decreased in some of the 5,311 grid cells of the Eastern Oregon study area and increased in others.The range of data values is from -18.2% to +194.1%. The mean value is -78.0% The vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts at two study sites, one in eastern Oregon (Deschutes and Fremont-Winema National Forests)...


map background search result map search result map Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Percent change in the average annual value of total ecosystem carbon between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Eastern Oregon study area, USA Change in the mean annual fraction of cell burned between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Seasonal Average Precipitation (1980-2004) from NCEP-driven WRFG Seasonal Average Precipitation (2041-2069) from CGCM3-driven WRFG Monthly Average Precipitation (2040-2070) from CGCM3-driven RCM3 Seasonal Average Precipitation (1980-2004) from NCEP-driven MM5I Monthly Average Minimum Daily Temperature (2040-2070) from CCSM-driven WRFG Monthly Average Minimum Daily Temperature (1979-2004) from NCEP-driven RCM3 Monthly Average Maximum Daily Temperature (2040-2070) from CCSM-driven CRCM Vegetation Type for the United States and Canada Simulated for the years 2070-2099 as Simulated by the MC1 Model (NA8K version) and Based on Climate Projections from the MIROC 3.2 MEDRES GCM for the SRES A2 Emission Scenario Vegetation Type for the United States and Canada Simulated for Historical data for the years 1961-1990 by the MC1 Model (NA8K version) Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for October for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for August for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for April for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under Hadley CM3 A2 in cm for August for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under CSIRO MK3 A2 in cm for June for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Change in the mean annual fraction of cell burned between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Percent change in the average annual value of total ecosystem carbon between 1971-2000 and 2070-2099, as simulated by MC1 under Hadley A2 for the Eastern Oregon study area, USA Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for October for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for August for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under MIROC 3.2 medres A2 in cm for April for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under Hadley CM3 A2 in cm for August for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Total soil residual water simulated under CSIRO MK3 A2 in cm for June for the Pacific Northwest, USA (2070-2099 average) Simulated average historical soil carbon (1971-2000) for AZ and NM, USA Simulated historical net primary production (1971-2000) for OR and WA, USA MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-November 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) MC1 DGVM fire potential consensus forecast January-May 2012 (number of weather forecasts resulting in high potential) Monthly Average Precipitation (2040-2070) from CGCM3-driven RCM3 Vegetation Type for the United States and Canada Simulated for the years 2070-2099 as Simulated by the MC1 Model (NA8K version) and Based on Climate Projections from the MIROC 3.2 MEDRES GCM for the SRES A2 Emission Scenario Vegetation Type for the United States and Canada Simulated for Historical data for the years 1961-1990 by the MC1 Model (NA8K version) Seasonal Average Precipitation (1980-2004) from NCEP-driven MM5I Monthly Average Maximum Daily Temperature (2040-2070) from CCSM-driven CRCM Seasonal Average Precipitation (1980-2004) from NCEP-driven WRFG Seasonal Average Precipitation (2041-2069) from CGCM3-driven WRFG Monthly Average Minimum Daily Temperature (2040-2070) from CCSM-driven WRFG Monthly Average Minimum Daily Temperature (1979-2004) from NCEP-driven RCM3