Final Report: Using Dynamic Linear Modeling to Characterize Hydrologic Regimes and Detect Flow Modifications at Multiple Temporal Scales
This work provides a flexible and scalable framework to assess the impacts of climate change on streamflow and stream temperature within the North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NALCC) region. This is accomplished through use of lumped parameter, physically-based, conceptual hydrologic and stream temperature models formulated in a hierarchical Bayesian framework. This allows for model predictions of streamflow and temperature at ungaged locations and a formal accounting of model estimate uncertainty at each location, something not previously achieved in these models. These environmental models will also link seamlessly with the land use and fish models. The final products of this project will provide:...
These 26 climate envelope models and associated “read me” file are described in the final report for the LCC-funded project, “Climate Envelope Models in Support of Landscape Conservation.” These climate envelope models describe the climate where each species currently lives and then map the geographic shift of that range under climate change. Multiple climage change scenarios inform these models. For more information please consult the final report for this project or the website, “Climate Envelope Modeling for Threatened and Endangered Species,” available at http://crocdoc.ifas.ufl.edu/projects/climateenvelopemodeling/.
Climate change is creating new challenges for biodiversity conservation. As temperatures, rainfall patterns, and sea levels change, distributions of plants and animals may shift geographically, altering their relationships with the environment and other species. As part of the response to climate change, the conservation community is starting to make decisions on longer time frames and with a focus on “adaptation” strategies to help species and habitats adjust. One of the first steps in adaptation planning is to conduct vulnerability assessments to identify which species or systems are likely to be most affected by climate change and why. Climate envelope models are an important tool used in vulnerability assessments...
This database was compiled as a part of a species distribution modeling project, and contains species traits obtained from targeted literature searches for 26 threatened and endangered species located in Florida. All of the traits below are searchable through this query tool, and a list of species with data that match your criteria will be generated. All data can be exported to Excel. For more information, please select the links containing the project information and metadata.