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This code was created to run a bioenergetics-based model of movement for Galapagos tortoises. It calculates energetic surplus or deficit at a daily time scale based on inputted temperature (6 times a day) and NDVI value (a single value per days), as well as the mass of an individual. It then uses dynamic programming to determine the optimal timing of movement between two foraging habitats, given time-series of NDVI in each habitat, and temperatures in both habitats and in a transition zone between habitats. The model relies on a variety of empirically derived relationships, including allometric relationships, derived for different groups of organisms (i.e., some relationships are based on analyses across multiples...
Some theoretical results concerning the nature of the relationship between the scientific quality and economic value of imperfect weather forecasts are obtained. A prototype multistage decision-making model is considered, involving only two possible actions and two possible states of weather. This particular form of model is motivated by a real-world application known as the fruit-frost problem. For an infinite-horizon, discounted version of this model it is shown that economic value remains zero below a forecast quality threshold and then rises monotonically but nonlinearly above this threshold. In particular, the relative sensitivity of economic value to changes in the quality of forecasts increases as perfect...


    map background search result map search result map Full annual cycle bioenergetics model of migration applied to Galapagos tortoises—Model Full annual cycle bioenergetics model of migration applied to Galapagos tortoises—Model