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Grid reflects the estimated frequency of severe thermal stress (NOAA Bleaching Alert Level 2) for decade 2030. Values are a percent (as integer) of the decade in which the grid cell would experience severe thermal stress under an IPCC "business-as-usual" emissions scenario. The specific indicator used in the model was the frequency (number of years in the decade) that the bleaching threshold is reached at least once. Frequencies were adjusted to account for historical sea surface temperature variability. Values range from 0 to 100. See the Reefs at Risk Revisited report and technical notes for more information.
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Probability of Development, Northeast U.S. is one of a suite of products from the Nature’s Network project (naturesnetwork.org). Nature’s Network is a collaborative effort to identify shared priorities for conservation in the Northeast, considering the value of fish and wildlife species and the natural areas they inhabit. This index represents the integrated probability of development occurring sometime between 2010 and 2030 at the 30 m cell level. It was based on models of historical patterns of urban growth in the Northeast, including the type (low intensity, medium intensity and high intensity), amount and spatial pattern of development, and incorporates the influence of factors such as geophysical conditions...


    map background search result map search result map Estimated Frequency of Severe Thermal Stress in the 2030s under an IPCC business-as-usual emissions scenario Probability of Development, 2030, Version 3.1, Northeast U.S. Probability of Development, 2030, Version 3.1, Northeast U.S. Estimated Frequency of Severe Thermal Stress in the 2030s under an IPCC business-as-usual emissions scenario