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This project will be conducted in 6 phases:Phase 1: Formulation - Compile a list of all interested stakeholders; work with Foundations of Success facilitators to provide background information, project goals, expectations and deliverables in preparation for Phase 2.Phase 2: Convening - facilitated webinars and face-to-face meetings among stakeholders; establishment of a core team of experts to guide the LCD process; draft conceptual model, conservation strategies,Phase 3: Draft blueprint for Focus Area - conduct spatial analysis to develop a draft ecological-social/political/economic blueprint for the Focus AreaPhase 4: Re-convening for review of Draft Blueprint and Decision Support Tool - The draft conservation...
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Shorebirds are among the most abundant and visible high-latitude vertebrates. Their ecology makes them particularly sensitive to climate change in the arctic. The current distribution of shorebirds on the Arctic Coastal Plain is poorly known because accurate data exist from just a few locations. The Arctic LCC has supported development of habitat selection models that combine bird survey data with remotely-sensed habitat maps to “fill in the gaps” where observations are sparse. In future phases, the distribution maps generated from these models could be ground-truthed and improved, and subsequently used as the basis from which to forecast future shorebird distribution for projected future climate scenarios.
In 2018 a US BLM funded study was initiated to assess changes in avian community structure and species density among pinyon-juniper stands that have or are undergoing prescribed thinning at the BLM Fort Stanton-Snowy River Cave National Conservation Area in New Mexico. While that study will provide information on avian community structure response to prescribed thinning, it is not addressing how such changes may manifest in reproductive effort and output. For example, some species may persist in treated areas, but reproductive output is higher or lower than untreated stands. This translates to long-term persistence, recruitment and, ultimately, potential changes in community structure.This study will address those...
The occurrence of Potentially Toxic Elements (PTEs) in the Arctic and sub-Arctic is of major concern for the sensitive ecosystems and the humans and aquatic flora and fauna in this region. Specifically, the Aleutian volcanic arc within the ABSI LCC is of interest because it exists along the ocean and atmospheric pathways for the transport of these and other contaminants and pollutants that are derived from other locations, such as Asia. Assessing the distribution of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in the Aleutian volcanic arc (within the ABSI LCC) is necessary in order to document the natural and anthropogenic sources of such elements that are utilized as micro-nutrients by aquatic wildlife, in some cases biomagnify,...
This project will engage researchers from the University of Idaho to assist with a set of analysis tasks that will improve understanding of seabird population dynamics and environmental drivers at a regional scale based on prior survey efforts that have been focused at a colony scale. Specifically, we envision the development of a population model for a couple of index species like murres and kittiwakes, including evaluation of spatial clustering of populations that co-vary, in order to: 1) asses implications of covariates with identified mechanisms and appropriate temporal (pre-breeding condition, summer, rearing, overwinter survival, etc.) and spatial scales; 2) evaluate the feasibility of combining seabirds into...
The primary goal of this project was to predict climate-related changes in the timing and duration of insect prey availability for arctic-breeding shorebirds. Researchers coordinated closely with the Arctic Shorebird Demographics Network, whose collaborators sampled aquatic insect emergence, terrestrial insect activity, and associated environmental data at sites across arctic Alaska and Canada. Using ASDN data, they developed mathematical models that relate the timing and duration of insect emergence and activity to accumulated temperature, weather, and other environmental variables. They used these models to predict future changes in the timing of arctic insect availability based on climate change projections....
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This project was funded to understand how, where, and why outputs from landscape connectivity models vary, and to suggest approaches to increase comparability and interoperability of models across Landscape Conservation Cooperative boundaries. We began by compiling metadata from 73 landscape connectivity modeling projects into an online, editable spreadsheet. Using spatial data from a subset of studies included in the database, we conducted an uncertainty analysis to understand how much spatial variation there was among predictions from different landscape connectivity models. Raw outputs from the original models showed relatively little overlap, averaging about 3% across all pairs of studies. However, when a common...
The South Atlantic LCC is seeking technical assistance in evaluating the past, current, and future condition of the ecological systems of the South Atlantic. The South Atlantic LCC is currently doing a “State of the South Atlantic” assessment to evaluate the past, current, and future condition of 9 broad ecosystem types. This procurement focuses on the approximately 71 ecological systems that exist completely or partially within the South Atlantic and are nested within the 9 South Atlantic LCC ecosystem types. South Atlantic LCC staff and collaborators are seeking technical assistance in evaluating the past, current, and future condition of the ecological systems of the South Atlantic and a concise report documenting...
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The Integrated Ecosystem Model for Alaska project (IEM) uses down-scaled climate models as the drivers of ecosystem change to produce forecasts of future fire, vegetation, permafrost and hydrology regimes at a resolution of 1km. This effort is the first to model ecosystem change on a statewide scale, using climate change input as a major driving variable. The objectives of the IEM project are as follows; to better understand and predict effects of climate change and other stressors on landscape level physical and ecosystem processes, and to provide support for resource conservation planning.The IEM will provide resource managers with a decision support tool to visualize future landscapes in Alaska. Model outputs...
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An urgent problem that we, the Caribbean conservation community, need to address is how best to allocate scarce resources to conservation initiatives directed at cays. Caribbean cays are both culturally and ecologically valuable, but are highly vulnerable to climate change, sea level rise, invasive species, and human uses, including recreational and residential development. In terms of climate change impacts and sea level rise, a few low-lying coralline and mangrove cays have already become partially or completely submerged such as one in the area of Guayanilla, Puerto Rico, monitored by the US Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) from 1991 until it’s submergence in 2004. Five species of seabirds and shorebirds that...
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An atlas to spatially present the best science about El Yunque National Forest to community groups involved in developing the new EYNF Management Plan
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Natural resource management requires decision making in the face of uncertain future conditions. Climate change has been identified by our partnership as a high-priority threat to grasslands and all of our priority habitats, affecting water availability, species composition, species interactions, phenology, and other factors. Climate change is understood to be a factor in nearly all natural resource issues, but managers find it difficult to plan for climate change because of high levels of uncertainty. Multiple Global Climate Models (GCMs), CO2 emission scenarios, downscaling methods, and combinations of these compound our uncertainty. Natural resource managers need a simple way to evaluate climate-driven changes...
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It has been recognized by the Appalachian LCC partnership that to develop and deliver landscape-level planning tools, it is essential to develop an Appalachian-wide map depicting where cave and karst habitats and resources occur across the landscape. For the past 18 months, researchers for the Appalachian LCC funded “Classification and Georeferencing Cave/Karst Resources across the Appalachian LCC” project have been gathering and analyzing data on caves and karst region wide. This work has produced a series of deliverables, including narratives, data tables, geospatial information layers, and a variety of maps. The maps and files provide a comprehensive overview of data availability for examining relationships between...
The purpose of Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCCs) is to inform the management of natural and cultural heritage resources in response to shifts in climate, habitat fragmentation and loss, and other landscape level challenges. The South Atlantic LCC’s mission is to “create a shared blueprint for landscape conservation actions that sustain natural and cultural resources” (South Atlantic LCC 2014) and to this end, has contracted with the Conservation Biology Institute (CBI) to release the first version of the Conservation Blueprint using the Data Basin (databasin.org) platform. The South Atlantic LCC seeks to iteratively refine the Conservation Blueprint and release future versions as necessary to achieve their...
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Future climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies will be dependent on the best available projections of how the regional climate will change and the impacts those changes will have on the region’s natural and cultural resources. Understanding the vulnerability of various species and habitats to climate change within the Appalachian LCC is of critical importance for making effective conservation decisions. The AppLCC funded a Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment research project that addresses several factors: 1) how the Cooperative should acquire information about the climate vulnerability of Appalachian species and habitats to develop vulnerability assessments for a suite of key species and habitats...
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Perennial streams in the Desert LCC support riparian trees such as cottonwood (Populus spp) and box elder (Acer negundo) that are critical components of habitat for riparian obligate birds and other wildlife species (Webb et al. 2007). Trees, snags, and fallen woody debris provide nesting and foraging sites for a variety of riparian animals (Bateman et al. 2008, Smith et al. 2012). Riparian trees require occasional floods to create space suitable for germination and are dependent on accessible groundwater for growth and survival (Lytle and Merritt 2004). Studies along the Middle Rio Grande in New Mexico have shown that rates of woody debris accumulation are also influenced by hydrology because floods physically...
Recent observations by U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) personnel have noted a number of changes along the Pecos River in east central New Mexico that may signal a fundamental decline in habitat quality for the federally listed Pecos bluntnose shiner (shiner). To evaluate trends in fluvial geomorphology, and thus shiner habitat conditions, an in-depth and comprehensive study, including system hydrology, is needed. The Service seeks to describe trends of geomorphic change of the Pecos River and determine plausible alternatives for river operations. Study goals include the evaluation of previously collected field data, analysis of geomorphic changes, review of effects of hydrologic and geomorphic change on...


map background search result map search result map Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Multi-scale conservation planning under climate change: using local and ecoregional models to inform landscape conservation design South Atlantic Conservation Blueprint interactive viewer South Atlantic LCC terrestrial habitat vulnerability Developing a process and conservation application for Landscape Conservation Design for the Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative Comparability of landscape connectivity products for large scale landscape planning Classification and Mapping of Cave and Karst Resources Assessing Vulnerability of Species and Habitats to Large-scale Impacts El yunque Atlas Integrated Ecosystem Model (AIEM) for Alaska and Northwest Canada (COPY) Grassland Species as Indicators for use in Climate Change Modeling Flow Protection and Restoration Opportunity Areas Cays Conservation Action Team Modeling Shorebird Distribution on the North Slope Climate effects on Arctic Food Resources: Modeling the Timing and Duration of Aquatic Insect Emergence from Tundra Ponds El yunque Atlas Cays Conservation Action Team Modeling Woody Plant Regeneration and Debris Accumulation under Future Streamflow and Wildfire Scenarios in the DLCC Developing a process and conservation application for Landscape Conservation Design for the Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative Multi-scale conservation planning under climate change: using local and ecoregional models to inform landscape conservation design Grassland Species as Indicators for use in Climate Change Modeling Flow Protection and Restoration Opportunity Areas Modeling Shorebird Distribution on the North Slope South Atlantic Conservation Blueprint interactive viewer South Atlantic LCC terrestrial habitat vulnerability Assessing Vulnerability of Species and Habitats to Large-scale Impacts Classification and Mapping of Cave and Karst Resources Integrated Ecosystem Model (AIEM) for Alaska and Northwest Canada (COPY) Climate effects on Arctic Food Resources: Modeling the Timing and Duration of Aquatic Insect Emergence from Tundra Ponds Comparability of landscape connectivity products for large scale landscape planning