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Here, we examine the spatial patterns of (mis)alignment between climate-related risks and risk perceptions across the conterminous US and discuss how (mis)alignment may affect climate efforts in these places. We use public data describing county-level US public perceptions of personal climate risk developed by the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and derived via a multilevel regression with post-stratification on a national survey (Howe et al 2015) (figure 1(A)) and publicly available hazard risk data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency National Risk Index that quantifies and rates expected annual economic loss resulting from climate-related hazards (Zuzak et al 2021) for five major hazards...
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Fire in Southern California chaparral communities is a historically common occurrence [1]. Hot, dry summers interact with strong “Santa Ana” winds and large human interfaces to create extreme risks of devastating wildfires [6], [11]. These plant communities also feedback into wildfire probabilities, producing drought-resistance mechanisms – such as volatile oils and woody stems - that can increase the spread and intensity of wildfire [1], [13]. Understanding the main drivers of wildfire is a priority in the wake of recent drought conditions, which are likely to worsen. California experienced its most extreme drought of the last millennia during the 2012-2016 period [5]. These extreme conditions interact with an...
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By amassing a database of climate adaptation strategies and looking at overall resiliency outcomes or short-term measures of success, such as spatiotemporal increases in population size or biodiversity, a meta-analysis can better connect the science-to-policy interface and present as a decision-support tool. By synthesizing results from a case-scenario meta-analysis and investigating if these strategies involve components of the National Wildlife Federation’s Climate Smart Conservation Cycle, we can provide a framework for effective conservation strategy by explaining how conservation practitioners are using it and if they have deemed it successful. The objective of this project is to compile adaptation case-studies...
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Abstract (from ScienceDirect): Policies that mandate environmental flows (e-flows) can be powerful tools for freshwater conservation, but implementation of these policies faces many hurdles. To better understand these challenges, we explored two key questions: (1) What additional data are needed to implement e-flows? and (2) What are the major socio-political barriers to implementing e-flows? We surveyed water and natural resource decision makers in the semi-arid Red River basin, Texas-Oklahoma, USA, and used social network analysis to analyze their communication patterns. Most respondents agreed that e-flows can provide important benefits and identified the same data needs. However, respondents sharply in their...
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The mission of the US Geological Survey’s National Climate Adaptation Science Center (NCASC) is to provide managers, policy-makers, and other stakeholders with information and decision-making tools to respond to effects of climate change on natural resources. In support of this goal, the NCASC has supported exceptional mentoring experiences for graduate students from select partner institutions in developing policy-relevant products related to managing climate change impacts on fish, wildlife, and/or ecosystems. For many graduate students conducting research on the impacts of climate change on natural resources, disseminating results of their research to managers, policy-makers, or other stakeholders is not required...
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Changes in climate and land-use and land-cover (LULC) are expected to influence surface water runoff and nutrient characteristics of estuarine watersheds, but the extent to which estuaries are vulnerable to altered nutrient loading under future conditions is poorly understood. The present work aims to address this gap through the development of a new vulnerability assessment framework that accounts for (a) estuarine exposure to projected changes in total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) loads as a function of LULC and climate change under several scenarios, (b) sensitivity, and (c) adaptive capacity. The framework was applied to 112 estuaries and their contributing watersheds across the contiguous U.S., specifically...
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Mapping Estuarine Vulnerability to Water Quality Change Under Future Climate and Land-Use Conditions
The present project aimed to assess estuarine vulnerability to water quality change under future climate and land-use conditions and develop a national-scale, interactive, web-based application to facilitate data access and visualization of estuarine systems across the conterminous US.
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Types: Citation
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