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Weather suitability for mountain pine beetle outbreaks in whitebark pine forests, 2010-2099, Northern Rockies Study Area

Dates

Publication Date
Start Date
2010
End Date
2099

Citation

Hicke, J. and P. Buotte. 2014. Weather suitability for mountain pine beetle outbreaks in whitebark pine forests, 2010-2099, Northern Rockies Study Area. USGS ScienceBase.

Summary

Estimates of weather suitability for the occurrence of mortality in whitebark pine from mountain pine beetles as determined from a logistic generalized additive model of the presence of mortality as functions of the number of trees killed last year, the percent whitebark pine in each cell, minimum winter temperature, average fall temperature, avverage April-Aug temperature, and cummulative current and previous year summer precipitation. Analysis done at a 1km grid cell resolution. Weather suitability index calculated by summing the weather terms in the model. Calculated for 2010 through 2099 based on numerous downscaled data under several emissions scenarios. GCMs include: BCC, CanESM, CCSM, CESM, CESM-BGC, CMCC, CNRM, Had-CC, Had-ES, [...]

Contacts

Point of Contact :
Jeff Hicke, University of Idaho
Originator :
Jeff Hicke, Polly Buotte
Metadata Contact :
Jeff Hicke, University of Idaho
Distributor :
U.S. Geological Survey, GS ScienceBase

Attached Files

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1.04 GB

Purpose

Estimate the future potential for mountain pine beetle outbreaks in whitebark pine forests.

Map

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Northwest CASC

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