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Climate Zone for Blackburnian Warbler, 2080, Version 3.0, Northeast U.S.

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Bill DeLuca, University of Massachusetts Amherst Landscape Ecology Lab, Climate Zone for Blackburnian Warbler, 2080, Version 3.0, Northeast U.S.: .

Summary

The Blackburnian Warbler (Setophaga fusca) is a small, brilliantly colored, migratory songbird that breeds in the northeastern coniferous forests of North America. It has been chosen to represent the habitat needs of other species of wildlife that also use mature mixed deciduous-coniferous forest. This dataset is a depiction of three zones of uncertainty in the predicted future distribution of this species based on climate suitability, given the projected climate in 2080 (averaged across RPC 4.5 and 8.5 climate scenarios). The “Zone of Persistence” represents those areas where the species is expected to continue to occur through 2080. The “Zone of Contraction” represents those areas that are currently suitable from a climate perspective [...]

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Purpose

The Blackburnian Warbler (Setophaga fusca) is a small, brilliantly colored, migratory songbird that breeds in the northeastern coniferous forests of North America. It has been chosen to represent the habitat needs of other species of wildlife that also use mature mixed deciduous-coniferous forest. This dataset is a depiction of three zones of uncertainty in the predicted future distribution of this species based on climate suitability, given the projected climate in 2080 (averaged across RPC 4.5 and 8.5 climate scenarios). The “Zone of Persistence” represents those areas where the species is expected to continue to occur through 2080. The “Zone of Contraction” represents those areas that are currently suitable from a climate perspective but where the 2080 climate is projected to be no longer suitable. The “Zone of Expansion” represents those areas where current climate is unsuitable but future climate is projected to become suitable by 2080. Compared to the Zone of Persistence, uncertainty is higher as to whether the species will occur in the Zones of Contraction or Expansion in 2080.
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  • LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal
  • North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative

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University of Massachusetts, Amherst

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