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Modeling climate change impacts on tidal marsh birds: restoration and conservation planning in the face of uncertainty

Dates

Publication Date
2013

Citation

Nadine Peterson(Principal Investigator), California Landscape Conservation Cooperative(funder), California Landscape Conservation Cooperative(administrator), 2013(Publication), Modeling climate change impacts on tidal marsh birds: restoration and conservation planning in the face of uncertainty, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1890/ES12-00341.1/abstract

Summary

The large uncertainty surrounding the future effects of sea-level rise and other aspects of climate change on tidal marsh ecosystems exacerbates the difficulty in planning effective conservation and restoration actions. We addressed these difficulties in the context of large-scale wetland restoration activities underway in the San Francisco Estuary (Suisun, San Pablo and San Francisco Bays). We used a boosted regression tree approach to project the future distribution and abundance of five marsh bird species (through 2110) in response to changes in habitat availability and suitability as a result of projected sea-level rise, salinity, and sediment availability in the Estuary. To bracket the uncertainty, we considered four future scenarios [...]

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  • California Landscape Conservation Cooperative
  • LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal

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urn:uuid urn:uuid 8a1d7d4d-49dc-468c-b904-fb75ccce219a

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