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Probability of Development, 2080, Version 3.1, Northeast U.S.

Dates

Creation
2017-06-01 20:19:36
Last Update
2017-10-06 19:07:48
Publication Date
2017-07

Citation

North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative(administrator), 2017-06-01(creation), 2017-10-06(lastUpdate), 2017-07(Publication), Probability of Development, 2080, Version 3.1, Northeast U.S.

Summary

Probability of Development, Northeast U.S. is one of a suite of products from the Nature’s Network project (naturesnetwork.org). Nature’s Network is a collaborative effort to identify shared priorities for conservation in the Northeast, considering the value of fish and wildlife species and the natural areas they inhabit. This index represents the integrated probability of development occurring sometime between 2010 and 2080 at the 30 m cell level. It was based on models of historical patterns of urban growth in the Northeast, including the type (low intensity, medium intensity and high intensity), amount and spatial pattern of development, and incorporates the influence of factors such as geophysical conditions (e.g., slope, proximity [...]

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Purpose

Probability of Development, Northeast U.S. is one of a suite of products from the Nature’s Network project (naturesnetwork.org). Nature’s Network is a collaborative effort to identify shared priorities for conservation in the Northeast, considering the value of fish and wildlife species and the natural areas they inhabit. This index represents the integrated probability of development occurring sometime between 2010 and 2080 at the 30 m cell level. It was based on models of historical patterns of urban growth in the Northeast, including the type (low intensity, medium intensity and high intensity), amount and spatial pattern of development, and incorporates the influence of factors such as geophysical conditions (e.g., slope, proximity to open water), existing secured lands, and proximity to roads and urban centers. The projected amount of new development is downscaled from county level forecasts based on a U.S. Forest Service 2010 Resources Planning Act (RPA) assessment. A complementary product, Probability of Development, 2030, Northeast U.S., estimates the probability of development over a shorter time-scale.

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