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Land Use and Land Cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment


Publication Date


Sleeter, B.M., Wilson, T.S., and Sherba, J.T., 2017, Land Use and Land Cover Projections for California's 4th Climate Assessment: U.S. Geological Survey data release,


This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover and population for the State of California for the period 1970-2101. For the 1970-2001 period, we used the USGS's LUCAS model to "backcast" LULC, beginning with the 2001 initial conditions and ending with 1970. For future projections, the model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 5 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. The simulations include: 1) Historical backcast from 2001-1970, 2) Business-as-usual (BAU) projection from 2001-2101, and 3) three modified BAU projections based on California Department of Finance population projections based on high, medium, and low growth rates.


Point of Contact :
Benjamin M Sleeter
Originator :
Jason T Sherba, Tamara S Wilson, Benjamin M Sleeter
Metadata Contact :
Benjamin M Sleeter
Publisher :
U.S. Geological Survey
Distributor :
U.S. Geological Survey - ScienceBase
USGS Mission Area :
Land Resources
SDC Data Owner :
Western Geographic Science Center

Attached Files

Click on title to download individual files attached to this item.
“Land-change and population projections under BAU_Low scenario”
223.7 MB application/zip
“Land-change and population projections under BAU_Medium scenario”
224.52 MB application/zip
“Land-change and population projections under BAU_High scenario”
225.07 MB application/zip
“Land-change and population projections under BAU scenario”
226.03 MB application/zip
“Historical land-change and population projections”
67.19 MB application/zip


This dataset was generated to support various activities within the State of California's 4th Climate Assessment.



  • LandCarbon
  • USGS Data Release Products



Data source
Input directly

Additional Information


Type Scheme Key
DOI doi:10.5066/F7M61HFP

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