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Multiple sources of uncertainty affect metrics for ranking conservation risk under climate change

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Amber Wright, Robert Hijmans, Mark Schwartz, and H. Bradley Shaffer, 2014-09-11, Multiple sources of uncertainty affect metrics for ranking conservation risk under climate change: Diversity and Distributions, v. 21, iss. 1.

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Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ddi.12257/abstract): Aim Ecological niche modelling is one of the main tools that allows for the incorporation of climate change effects into conservation planning. For example, ecological niche model predictions can be used to rank species by degree of predicted future habitat loss. While many studies have considered how different modelling decisions contribute to uncertainty in niche model outputs, here we evaluate how metrics used to rank species by conservation risk respond to the choice of global climate models, greenhouse gas emission scenarios, suitable versus unsuitable threshold values, and the degree of model complexity. Location California, USA. Methods [...]

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  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Southwest CASC

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journalDiversity and Distributions
parts
typedoi
value10.1111/ddi.12257
typestartPage
value111
typeissn
value1472-4642
typeissue
value1
typeendPage
value122
typevolume
value21

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